ilmscore | Unemployment Rate Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 24
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 24
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The unemployment rate is predicted to rise to 5.5% or 6% due to AI.
"Like maybe unemployment goes to 5 and a half% or 6%."
Dec 19, 2025
Pending
The expected unemployment rate for March 7th is 4.1%, up from the previous 4%.
"the unemployment rate which is the previous was 4% and expected as 4.1"
Mar 3, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank predicts an increase in the unemployment rate during 2025.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is that they are expecting unemployment to rise in 2025"
Jan 16, 2025
Pending
The unemployment rate was predicted not to reach 8-10% in the 6-12 months following November 2024 (i.e., by Nov 2025).
"is the employment Market going to magically break and the the unemployment rate going to go to 8 10%..."
Nov 6, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is likely to structurally increase for a while.
"the reality is it's likely going to structurally go higher for a while right"
Oct 23, 2024
Pending
Unemployment rate is unlikely to drop again, with only 20-30% odds of it happening.
"if on the other hand the unemployment rate drops again... it doesn't really seem like the most likel..."
Oct 23, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate will be higher by the end of 2024 than it was on September 30, 2024.
"my guess my guess is that by the end of the year the unemployment rate will be higher then than it i..."
Sep 30, 2024
Pending
A significant rise in the unemployment rate (7-10%+) is not expected to occur in October 2024.
"7% 8% 9% 10% plus unemployment numbers that could eventually happen but it's not happening in Octobe..."
Sep 27, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is unlikely to skyrocket in October 2024 or the short term.
"it's tough to bank on unemployment rate skyrocketing in the short term"
Sep 27, 2024
Pending
Unemployment has risen due to increased labor supply from illegal immigration, but this trend may reverse as illegal immigration has reportedly declined, potentially leading to falling unemployment in the near future.
"unemployment has started Rising what Jerome failed to mention was that the influx of illegal immigra..."
Sep 25, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate might be contained to the 5-6% range.
"this they might be able to stop the unemployment rate somewhere in the kind of the fives or the sixe..."
Sep 18, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to continue a slow increase.
"my base case is the unemployment rate continues to slowly go higher"
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to rapidly increase to 5%, then to 6-7%, potentially in late 2025 or early 2026, as a consequence of economic tightening.
"unemployment next thing you know it hits 5% and then quickly it hits 6% 7% right"
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to rapidly increase to 5%, then quickly to 6-7%.
"unemployment next thing you know it hits 5% and then quickly it hits 6% 7%"
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
Unemployment rate is predicted to peak at 6-7% or potentially exceed 10% (comparable to the Great Financial Crisis).
"maybe we top out an unemployment rate of 6 or 7% maybe we go to great financial crisis type numbers ..."
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
The Fed will aim to increase the unemployment rate to approximately 4.5%, but not beyond that.
"that's obviously what the FED is going to try and be doing is like push this up maybe to 4 and a hal..."
Jul 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to "panic" if the unemployment rate reaches around 5% or 6%.
"but I think around like five or six they'll start to panic"
Jul 10, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to enter a significant cycle of increase, potentially reaching 6-8% over the next 12 to 18 months from July 2024.
"the unemployment rate has started to go up... we were about to go into an unemployment cycle here ri..."
Jul 6, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is projected to slightly increase to 4.2% in 2025.
"they believe that the unemployment rate is going to uptick slightly in 2025 to 4.2%"
Jun 12, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate, currently at 3.9% and above its 24-month moving average, is predicted to continue rising rapidly, based on historical patterns.
"history shows that once it gets above the 24mth moving average with the exception of 1967 we just yo..."
Mar 8, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate reaching 4% will be a significant indicator or turning point for the market.
"4% you know once the unemployment rate hits 4% that's when we find out I think"
Mar 7, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to start significantly increasing around Q4 of 2024, approximately seven months from the video's publishing date.
"it didn't really start to pick up until month like 21 right so another seven months from now right w..."
Mar 3, 2024
Pending
The unemployment rate, having crossed its 24-month moving average, is expected to continue rising significantly in this cycle before the Fed cuts rates.
"anytime we have seen this metric the unemployment rate go above its 24mth moving average it seems li..."
Feb 22, 2024
Pending
The US government and Federal Reserve Bank anticipate an increase in the unemployment rate in 2024.
"the government and the Federal Reserve Bank saying that unemployment needs to rise in 2024"
Jan 30, 2024
Pending